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The Federal Reserve is expected to implement a 25-basis point rate cut in December, influenced by recent comments from Governor Christopher Waller and market expectations. In contrast, the Bank of England faces persistent inflation challenges, likely maintaining its rate at 4.75% amid a split among its Monetary Policy Committee members. Both central banks' decisions will significantly impact currency and stock markets, with traders advised to monitor economic indicators closely.
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An investment of CHF 100 in UBS shares five years ago would have yielded a current value of CHF 231.54, reflecting a 131.54% increase. On December 16, 2019, UBS shares closed at CHF 12.30, and as of December 13, 2024, the share price rose to CHF 28.48. UBS's market capitalization now stands at CHF 90.78 billion.
China's November retail sales fell short of expectations, influenced by the timing of the singles shopping festival, leading consumers to shift spending towards government-supported areas. This trend mirrors Japan's 1990s spending voucher initiatives, highlighting the need for fiscal policy to address consumer concerns.In South Korea, President Yoon's impeachment moves to the Supreme Court, with a trial set for December 27, potentially reducing the risk of significant labor strikes. Meanwhile, assorted business sentiment polls are anticipated, though skepticism about their accuracy is advised due to the current climate of sensationalism and political polarization.
China's November retail sales fell short of expectations, influenced by the timing of the singles shopping festival, leading consumers to shift spending towards government-supported areas. This trend mirrors Japan's 1990s spending voucher initiatives, highlighting the need for fiscal policy to address consumer concerns.In South Korea, President Yoon's impeachment moves to the Supreme Court, with a trial set for December 27, potentially reducing the risk of significant labor strikes. Meanwhile, assorted business sentiment polls are anticipated, though skepticism about their accuracy is advised due to the current climate of sensationalism and political polarization.
EUR/GBP and EUR/USD are experiencing rallies, while GBP/USD is under pressure ahead of the Bank of England's rate decision. EUR/USD has stabilized around $1.0454, targeting the $1.055 area, while GBP/USD faces resistance near $1.2715-$1.275 and is likely to test the $1.2617 low.
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Switzerland has withdrawn the 5% dividend tax rate for income earned from India, increasing the tax to 10%. This change affects around 90 Swiss-based foreign portfolio investors, including UBS and Credit Suisse, following a ruling by the Indian Supreme Court on the Most Favoured Nation clause in the double tax avoidance agreement. Experts warn that this move will negatively impact foreign direct investment and portfolio investments from Switzerland.
Asian shares declined following disappointing economic data from China, impacting market sentiment. Meanwhile, bitcoin reached new highs, showcasing a contrasting trend in the cryptocurrency market. Investors are closely monitoring these developments as they navigate the current financial landscape.
AUD/USD ended last week at 0.6362, down 0.42%, near one-year lows, influenced by the RBA's dovish pivot and strong domestic jobs data. The pair's decline accelerated after the RBA indicated confidence in declining inflation, raising the likelihood of a February interest rate cut to 65%. As the US dollar strengthened due to positive CPI and PPI readings, AUD/USD's volatility continued, with a critical support zone at 0.6370-0.6335. Holding above this level could lead to a bounce towards 0.6450-0.6470, while a drop below may test lower levels.
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Wealth managers in Hong Kong are ramping up hiring to accommodate a surge in mainland Chinese clients seeking offshore investments and residency options. With private wealth net inflows nearly tripling to HK$341 billion in 2023, banks like UBS and Julius Baer are expanding their teams and services to cater to this growing demand. Amid geopolitical concerns and economic challenges in China, affluent individuals are increasingly looking to diversify their assets and secure better opportunities abroad.
EUR/USD and GBP/USD are experiencing declines as the US dollar strengthens, while EUR/GBP is recovering from a multi-year low. EUR/USD is on track for its sixth consecutive day of losses, approaching early December lows, while GBP/USD faces pressure after being rejected by a resistance line.
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